Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MSTR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 116.514974 134.248518 154.464099 179.361192 209.398717 244.721114 289.774922
2025-11-30 97.583188 120.933346 150.109377 189.802148 243.274177 314.112959 417.308150
2025-12-07 83.160729 108.450014 142.179066 191.546296 263.869214 369.140595 540.299655
2025-12-14 73.907520 100.380489 137.597165 195.466152 286.511989 430.451156 689.142986
2025-12-21 65.876999 92.437872 131.405816 195.106948 301.565853 482.413554 838.131242
2025-12-28 62.433409 90.467478 133.381242 207.184211 338.487594 579.254151 1102.273435
2026-01-04 58.930272 87.812606 133.704044 216.287843 371.839997 678.218899 1411.037279
2026-01-11 55.562456 84.869983 133.012763 223.283928 402.524757 780.304202 1773.325080
2026-01-18 52.053571 81.237919 130.593714 226.575555 426.444999 874.879340 2164.646901
2026-01-25 48.523103 77.155839 126.826585 226.589907 443.419450 958.650885 2572.458061
2026-02-01 44.716915 72.202279 120.894433 221.361768 447.771265 1013.041645 2922.621716
2026-02-08 41.314384 67.635522 115.159283 215.656599 449.837653 1062.314785 3287.870227
2026-02-15 38.235315 63.468567 109.909547 210.606156 453.476894 1120.341743 3741.185871
2026-02-22 37.613476 63.729895 113.186273 224.536406 507.613732 1346.166972 5087.549937
2026-03-01 35.795774 61.574503 111.435128 226.915513 532.521441 1493.097672 6244.762011
2026-03-08 34.387860 60.064550 110.807441 231.795097 565.652900 1683.338584 7880.010000
2026-03-15 32.623112 57.700836 108.145317 231.360791 583.559190 1828.311656 9468.805030
2026-03-22 32.290507 58.135849 111.452105 246.287685 652.060201 2207.212814 13400.823587
2026-03-29 31.644943 57.873101 113.203401 257.567743 712.926634 2595.974225 18466.913402
2026-04-05 30.830390 57.185530 113.923030 266.252803 768.224758 3000.293185 25057.797418
2026-04-12 29.753479 55.854041 113.024465 270.343956 808.956350 3364.576741 32708.039798
2026-04-19 28.496735 54.038990 110.812794 270.361804 834.958473 3671.868563 41107.349554
2026-04-26 26.944663 51.473661 106.582263 263.865223 834.267450 3827.137845 47895.269125